Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 94.038957 107.490635 123.245991 143.344780 168.727888 200.330663 243.684946
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 78.174959 95.570705 118.236143 151.049910 199.466030 272.339515 400.108080
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 72.742220 93.486041 122.822829 169.977788 250.042670 396.029673 738.595370
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 64.352550 85.188087 116.158330 169.384074 268.892941 478.681380 1117.009260
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 58.068379 78.656710 110.487098 168.276161 285.688850 569.296659 1717.690044
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 52.591788 72.464618 104.111804 164.063711 294.356321 648.680281 2576.135173
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 48.642848 68.094911 99.945908 162.807411 308.960237 760.457820 4378.527164
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 45.700578 64.952249 97.333214 163.883944 329.740407 920.143874 9263.540074
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 42.311887 60.713409 92.198163 158.632669 332.102831 1016.020247 18038.058259
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 41.124718 60.004558 93.298067 166.967797 376.919811 1397.699006 319207.769018
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 38.476826 56.550411 88.847026 161.847110 378.520007 1550.617821 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 36.835361 54.698884 87.229718 163.063121 402.231298 1939.979537 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 34.663611 51.922997 83.862365 160.326784 414.908580 2355.481044 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 33.807393 51.447247 85.067872 169.688498 483.120596 4023.778848 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.027299 52.937255 90.517205 192.324123 639.138443 13014.065830 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.425037 50.850267 88.033723 191.611892 678.596953 24036.067859 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.944444 48.871000 85.542624 190.281720 715.389829 52596.887579 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.365650 46.584298 82.112810 185.231330 724.703070 108061.208336 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 28.147743 44.916587 79.916943 183.727381 759.882649 692122.114866 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 27.196430 43.704730 78.638881 185.016063 821.158242 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 25.897564 41.718350 75.357371 178.737191 813.781671 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 25.563375 41.640594 76.585045 188.711855 974.581067 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 24.437358 39.884216 73.589191 182.578483 965.588572 NaN NaN